Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 1d 16h 📅 Remind Me


	Independiente Medellín		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	6.00	Watch
	1.49	4.10	5.75
	1.48	4.10	6.75	Watch
	1.52	4.25	6.15
	1.52	4.05	6	Watch
	1.48	4.00	6.00
	1.48	4.15	6.13
	1.48	4.00	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.42)	4.09 ↓ (4.35)	6.05 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
62%

Draw
22.7%

Alianza Valledupar
15.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.5%

21.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

21.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.

Ind Medellín is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Alianza have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Alianza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ind Medellín has faced a series of away games on the road.

The betting markets point to Ind Medellín as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ind Medellín has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:23 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Medellín against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 21:8 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ind. Medellin	16	7	2	7	23:24	-1	23
13	Alianza	16	5	3	8	16:27	-11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
28.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
25.10.26	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.10.26	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Medellín	3:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.10.26	América de Cali - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLLLW
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
28.10.26	Once Caldas - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
25.10.26	Alianza Valledupar - Inter Bogotá	1:0 ✺
19.10.26	Deportivo Pasto - Alianza Valledupar	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
02.10.26	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1
13.07.25	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	1:1
26.01.25	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	1:1
10.10.24	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	2:0
24.02.24	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	2:0
20.08.23	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	2:1
26.02.23	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1

Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar