Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA A - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Bismark S. (Col)


	Independiente Medellín		Atlético Huila

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	9.5	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.36	4.75	9	Watch
	1.38	4.87	9.32
	1.3	4.6	8.5
	1.36	4.8	8.4
	1.34	4.7	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.6)	4.65 ↑ (3.82)	8.63 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
69%

Draw
20.1%

Atlético Huila
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.

Atlético Huila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Huila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Huila than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Huila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Chunga J. (G) 28. Luis Orejuela 24. Ortiz J. 5. Varela J. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 7. Plata A. 15. Alvarado J. 16. Torres D. 18. Cetre E. 27. Leon Muniz B. 9. Pons L.	1. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 27. Lerma J. 17. Mosquera Y. 3. Escorcia L. 26. Rivera A. 6. Diaz B. 80. Angulo Castro B. 7. Hernandez S. 20. Gil Mosquera F. A. 11. De La Rosa W. 9. Caicedo J. F.
Substitutes
2. Chaverra L. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 11. Ibarguen A. 31. Moreno D. 19. Moreno Y. 29. Palacios J. 10. Ricaurte A.	90. Caicedo B. 4. Caicedo L. 13. Delgado D. 12. Figueroa J. (G) 24. Robles C. 8. Tavera R. 10. Vinicius M.
Coaches
Arias A.	Corredor D.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 3.

Recent matches Independiente Medellín is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Huila is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Huila could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Independiente Medellín is indisputable favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Independiente Medellín won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente Medellín won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Copa
05.10.23	Independiente Medellín - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:3 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
01.10.23	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
28.09.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.09.23	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWWT
- Atlético Huila
Colombian Primera A
02.10.23	Atlético Huila - Deportivo La Equidad	1:1 ✺
26.09.23	Deportivo Pasto - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
21.09.23	Millonarios - Atlético Huila	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético Huila - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
14.09.23	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Huila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
25.04.23	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	2:3
28.08.21	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	3:1
24.10.19	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	0:1
01.05.19	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	2:1
24.07.18	Atlético Huila - Independiente Medellín	0:0
02.02.18	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	3:0
19.07.17	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Huila	1:1

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