Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Medellín		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.95	6.4	Watch
	1.53	4.09	6.89
	1.42	4.49	7.39	Watch
	1.5	3.8	6
	1.5	4.1	6.26	Watch
	1.52	3.8	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.28)	4.05 ↓ (5.31)	6.55 ↓ (9.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
62.5%

Draw
23.2%

Deportivo Pereira
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

17.6%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Chaux E. (C) 2. Chaverra L. 4. Mantilla K. 23. Palacios M. 8. Serna A. 30. Palacios H. 6. Moreno D. 13. Chaverra F. 31. Moreno D. 19. Fydriszewski F. 20. Montano J.	33. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 4. Bazan J. 25. Delgado F. 6. Ortiz D. 88. Quinones Y. 14. Moreno E. 18. Perez M. 17. Torres G.
Substitutes
7. Berrio L. 28. Davila A. 18. Fabra F. 1. Ichazo S. (G) 9. Larrosa E. 17. Mancilla G. 15. Maturana L. 26. Mena Perea E. 24. Ortiz J.	19. Aguirre M. 30. Bovone T. 11. Largacha J. 1. Martinez J. (G) 20. Monroy J. 39. Montoya J. 8. Mosquera F. 3. Rengifo N. 2. Urrea S.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, Pacheco W. (A),
27', Chaverra F. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreno D. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
46', Mantilla K. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
66', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
66', Palacios H. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
71', Perez M. ↓, Monroy J. ↑,
72', Moreno D. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
72', Quinones Y. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
77', Torres G. ↓, Bovone T. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Berrio L. ⚽,
83', Bovone T. 🟨,
84', Pacheco W. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
85', Berrio L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.

Ind Medellín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pereira is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pereira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ind Medellín is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ind. Medellin	12	6	2	4	19:16	3	20
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
10.02.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Medellín	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTTL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
08.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
02.02.26	Deportivo Pereira - Junior Barranquilla	2:3 ✺
28.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Deportivo Pereira - Llaneros SA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
19.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	2:0
22.07.24	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	1:1
27.01.24	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
22.10.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
07.05.23	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	3:1
07.12.22	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Medellín	1:0 penalties
04.12.22	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	1:1

Upcoming Matches