Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	ESPN Premium
Ecuador	ESPN
Georgia	Silk Universal
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Independiente Medellín		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.55	6.4
	1.53	3.9	7.99
	1.5	3.86	7.94
	1.5	3.6	7
	1.57	3.57	6.64	Watch
	1.53	3.95	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	3.7 ↓ (3.81)	6.98 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
61.3%

Draw
25.3%

Juventud de Las Piedras
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

24.5%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23.7%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Juventud (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Juventud (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ichazo S. (G) 24. Ortiz J. 4. Mantilla K. 33. Londono D. 16. Loboa H. 30. Palacios H. 6. Moreno D. (C) 31. Moreno D. 18. Fabra F. 19. Fydriszewski F. 9. Larrosa E.	1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 23. Mas E. 22. Chagas R. 14. Roldan L. 11. Lago P. 7. Alaniz A. 20. Sanchez R. 10. Larregui B.
Substitutes
25. Chaux E. (G) 13. Chaverra F. 2. Chaverra L. 5. Escorcia L. 17. Mancilla G. 15. Maturana L. 26. Mena Perea E. 20. Montano J. 23. Palacios M. 14. Perlaza B. 8. Serna A. 88. Viveros J.	27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 15. Cruz A. 30. Gomez G. 8. Izaguirre M. 80. Mimbacas F. 25. Mujica I. 37. Peralta R. 21. Perez F. 16. Rabino R. 28. Risso F. 12. Rossi N. (G)
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Mendez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Palacios H. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
16', Pernicone P. ↓, Caceres M. ↑,
25', 1 - 1, Barrandeguy F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreno D. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
46', Londono D. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
58', Sanchez R. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
58', Chagas R. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
60', Palacios H. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
77', Larrosa E. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
78', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
82', Lago P. ↓, Gomez G. ↑,
82', Alaniz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Fabra F. (A),
90', Peralta R. 🟥,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind Medellín is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Copa Libertadores
05.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.02.26	Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Independiente Medellín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTTW
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Nacional Montevideo	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.02.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Central Español	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
05.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Independiente Medellín	1:1

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