Match Info

COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Referee: Matorel L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win Sports+, Win Sports Online
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Independiente Medellín		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	10	Watch
	1.4	4	7.8	Watch
	1.43	4.25	9.19
	1.42	4.01	9.16	Watch
	1.4	3.9	9
	1.39	4.26	10.6	Watch
	1.4	4	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.06 ↓ (4.18)	9.08 ↑ (8.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Medellín
66.6%

Draw
23.1%

Unión Magdalena
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

22.2%

11.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Unión Magdalena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Users Predictions: Independiente Medellín will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 17. Rodallega Y. 4. Mantilla K. 33. Londono D. 2. Chaverra L. 15. Alvarado J. 8. Garcia M. 31. Moreno D. 19. Fydriszewski F. 7. Berrio L. 9. Sandoval L.	1. Restrepo E. (G) 3. Mera D. 33. Vanegas Zuniga O. L. 5. Payares M. 4. Murillo D. 10. Sarmiento J. 24. Cantillo F. 16. Sencion Rodriguez C. E. (C) 6. Ortiz D. 15. Krame E. 11. Aragon O.
Substitutes
11. Angulo 25. Chaux E. (G) 13. Chaverra F. 39. Escorcia L. 27. Leon B. 14. Perlaza B. 80. Serna A.	13. Aleman J. 17. Blanco R. 21. Giraldo J. 34. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 28. Mercado J. 8. Sanchez V. 14. Trujillo J.
Coaches
Restrepo A.	Pinto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Krame E. ⚽, Murillo D. (A),
31', Mantilla K. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
34', Murillo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Garcia M. ↓, Angulo ↑,
61', Berrio L. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
67', Krame E. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
67', Aragon O. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Chaverra L. (Pen),
78', Rodallega Y. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
78', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
82', Leon B. 🟨,
84', Cantillo F. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
84', Sencion Rodriguez C. E. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
88', Sarmiento J. ↓, Aleman J. ↑,
90+2', Londono D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 3.

Ind Medellín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ind Medellín is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:2 (average 2:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
09.02.25	Envigado - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
17.11.24	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
14.11.24	Independiente Medellín - Envigado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
08.02.25	Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
03.02.25	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
14.12.24	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	1:1 penalties ✺
10.12.24	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
03.12.24	Llaneros SA - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
08.11.23	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín	0:4
17.05.23	Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena	4:0
10.10.22	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín	0:2
17.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena	0:0
03.08.19	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín	1:1
09.02.19	Independiente Medellín - Unión Magdalena	1:1

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