The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Petroleros 57.2%
Draw 23%
ABB 19.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.4%
23.8%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
22.2%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ABB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABB than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Independiente Petroleros - ABB Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vera J. (C) 2. Torres S. 50. Roni Santos 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 26. Sanchez K. 6. Rojas D. 7. Cardozo R. 93. Willie 99. Jeferson Carioca 91. Alvarez G.
25. Cuellar J. (G) 75. Valda D. 55. Seimandi A. 22. Reyes S. 42. La Fuente Z. 21. Vaca P. 30. Bejarano A. 17. Perozo R. 3. Chumacero A. (C) 24. Rojas J. 11. Fajardo J. F.
Substitutes
15. Bejarano J. 16. Chavez Suarez S. 9. Gean 39. Grass P. 1. Gutierrez J. (G) 8. Guttierrez J. 20. Mercado A. 68. Morales D. 5. Palma L. 4. Rodriguez L. 28. Soleto W. 14. Urdininea C.
9. Briceno J. 19. Camacho A. 5. Claure S. 31. Espinoza B. 6. Guillermo A. 40. Guillermo A. 77. Minah J. 2. Riasco J. 1. Riascos A. (G) 16. Salazar M. 33. Zamora F.
Coaches
Grass J.
Charles de Almeida
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Alvarez G. ⚽, Torres S. (A),
8', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Mercado A. ↑,
17', 2 - 0, Willie ⚽, Torres S. (A),
23', 2 - 1, La Fuente Z. ⚽,
28', 3 - 1, Alvarez G. ⚽, Sanchez K. (A),
37', Seimandi A. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Perozo R. ↓, Camacho A. ↑,
58', Vaca P. ↓, Briceno J. ↑,
59', 4 - 1, Crescencio L. ⚽,
73', Rojas D. ↓, Urdininea C. ↑,
73', Sanchez K. ↓, Chavez Suarez S. ↑,
73', Cardozo R. ↓, Gean ↑,
76', Chumacero A. ↓, Espinoza B. ↑,
77', Rojas J. ↓, Minah J. ↑,
79', 4 - 2, Minah J. ⚽, Valda D. (A),
80', Bejarano A. 🟨,
81', Valda D. 🟨,
89', Alvarez G. ↓, Bejarano J. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 11th and 14th).
In recent outings, Ind Petroleros has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
ABB has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ind Petroleros may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, ABB has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Ind Petroleros is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ind Petroleros has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Petroleros against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
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Vera J. (C) 
Roni Santos 
Seimandi A. 
Perozo R. 
Fajardo J. F. 
Guttierrez J. 
Palma L. 
Minah J. 
Riasco J. 
Riascos A. (G) 
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