Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	2.6	3	2.65
	3.25	2.98	2.35	Watch
	3.49	3.03	2.31
	3.19	2.84	2.48	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	3.38	2.98	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	2.45 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
29.8%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Cali
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Envigado - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Envigado (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 15. Cuervo S. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 21. Lopez E. 36. Murillo B. 6. Palacio J. 2. Palacios D. 34. Diaz L. 26. Arcila D. 31. Berrio F. 11. Garces J.	38. Rodriguez A. (G) 27. Viafara F. 16. Corujo G. 5. Varela J. 3. Correa A. 30. Gordillo Y. 18. Hurtado A. 25. Colorado A. 28. Luis Orejuela 11. Estupinan A. 10. Javier Reina
Substitutes
25. Angulo L. 8. Espana Alvarez R. C. 39. Gomez L. 3. Holguin J. 18. Hurtado W. 9. Londono S. 22. Mendoza J. (G) 27. Quejada J. 16. Ramirez N.	2. Aguilar F. 8. Aponza J. 17. Arango J. 6. Bustamante R. 44. Graciano C. 77. Montoya J. (G) 31. Moreno J. 13. Quintero Y. 32. Rojo A. (G)
Coaches
Orozco A.	Gamero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Correa A. 🟨,
45+4', Garces J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luis Orejuela ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
46', Correa A. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
47', Gordillo Y. 🟨,
52', Cuervo S. 🟨,
58', Palacios D. 🟨,
63', Berrio F. 🟨,
70', Palacio J. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
70', Garces J. ↓, Espana Alvarez R. C. ↑,
73', Colorado A. ↓, Bustamante R. ↑,
74', Javier Reina ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
78', Estupinan A. 🟨,
82', Lopez E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
82', Berrio F. ↓, Londono S. ↑,
84', Hurtado A. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2.

Envigado is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Deportivo Cali's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera A
12.07.25	Envigado - Fortaleza CEIF	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.06.25	Envigado - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Alianza Valledupar - Envigado	3:3 ✺
07.06.25	Envigado - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Orsomarso - Envigado	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTWW
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
12.07.25	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
14.06.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
09.06.25	Deportivo Cali - Deportes Quindío	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	3:1 ✺
30.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
02.02.25	Deportivo Cali - Envigado	1:0
10.11.24	Envigado - Deportivo Cali	1:0
21.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Envigado	2:0
20.10.23	Envigado - Deportivo Cali	3:0
08.05.23	Deportivo Cali - Envigado	2:0
02.08.22	Deportivo Cali - Envigado	0:3
05.02.22	Envigado - Deportivo Cali	1:0

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