Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Independiente Santa Fe		Inter Bogotá

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.9
	2.02	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.09	3.25	4.17
	2.01	3.27	3.85	Watch
	2	3	3.75
	2	3.13	3.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	3.87 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
46.6%

Draw
29.3%

Inter Bogotá
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

28.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 32. Mafla C. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 9. Fagundez F. 16. Torres D. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 11. Rodallega H. (C) 8. Fernandez O.	30. Palacio S. (G) 20. Castro J. 2. Vivas C. 26. Irazoque A. 22. Suarez K. 5. Vasquez L. (C) 15. Quinones D. 99. Poveda I. 11. Bone F. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 7. Sanguinetti F.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 2. Juan Quintero 77. Obrian J. 40. Palacios M. 7. Torres J. 10. Zapata A.	6. Angel Amaya Pena M. 23. Caballero J. 21. Caicedo B. 12. Carrasco J. (G) 19. Garcia Y. 16. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 4. Rodas M. 14. Santamaria M. 9. Valencia J.
Coaches
Repetto P.	Valino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Quinones D. 🟨,
18', Caballero J. 🟨,
43', Fagundez F. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Sanguinetti F. ⚽, Poveda I. (A),
50', Poveda I. 🟨,
50', Fagundez F. 🟨,
54', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
56', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
64', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
64', Torres D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Rodallega H. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Poveda I. ↓, Rodas M. ↑,
72', Bone F. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Olivera E. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
75', Palacios M. 🟨,
78', Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 🟨,
79', Rodallega H. 🟨,
80', Suarez K. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Bustos N. ⚽, Rodallega H. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Santa Fe is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Platense - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLT
- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera A
26.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Boyacá Chicó	4:0 ✺
20.04.26	Once Caldas - Inter Bogotá	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTL

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