Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Platense		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.3	5.5
	1.65	3.45	5.9
	1.68	3.54	6.79
	1.69	3.39	5.99	Watch
	1.7	3.25	5
	1.68	3.5	6.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)	3.4 ↑ (3.28)	5.84 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
56%

Draw
27.8%

Independiente Santa Fe
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

30.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Platense's performance.

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Platense - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Platense will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Lagos A. 34. Mendia M. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 5. Gomez I. 26. Ferreira P. 7. Mainero G. (C) 43. Retamar K. 10. Zapiola F. 9. Nasif T.	1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 16. Torres D. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 14. Palacios L. 9. Fagundez F. 8. Fernandez O. 11. Rodallega H. (C)
Substitutes
24. Barrios M. 17. Bussio F. 27. Dalmasso S. 33. Gauto J. 23. Heredia L. 38. Ingenthron C. 99. Lencina G. 18. Merlini B. 6. Raggio E. 25. Saborido J. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 28. Tucker M.	24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 30. Cortes K. 2. Juan Quintero 5. Melendez J. 77. Obrian J. 40. Palacios M. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 7. Torres J. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Zunino W.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
21', Gomez I. 🟨,
29', Palacios L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Moreno V. ↓, Juan Quintero ↑,
46', Gomez I. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Nasif T. ⚽, Mainero G. (A),
60', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Mendia M. ⚽, Mainero G. (A),
71', Palacios L. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
74', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
75', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
76', Nasif T. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
82', Retamar K. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,
87', Mainero G. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
88', Zapiola F. ↓, Ingenthron C. ↑,
88', Torres D. 🟨,
89', Torres D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Olivera E. (A),

Preview

Platense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Santa Fe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Platense is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Platense: Bobadilla H. (Muscle Injury) Bussio F. (Inactive) Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Lotti A. (Back Injury) Luna Diale M. (Inactive) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Quiros S. (Hamstring Injury) Vazquez I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Santa Fe: Lovera M. (Injury) Murillo E. (Injury) Puerta M. (Inactive) Velasquez Y. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Platense: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Platense - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Central Córdoba - Platense	4:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Platense	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.26	Platense - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Platense - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWTL
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
23.04.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLTT

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