Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
India	FanCode, FanCode
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Independiente Santa Fe		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	4.15	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4.39	7.36
	1.52	4.18	5.99	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.45	4.2	7.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	4.19 ↓ (4.26)	6.71 ↑ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
63.6%

Draw
22.4%

Cúcuta Deportivo
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

21.9%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

22.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cúcuta will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 24. Angulo J. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 7. Torres J. 8. Fernandez O. 9. Fagundez F. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 11. Rodallega H. (C)	24. Abadia F. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 3. Calcaterra D. (C) 44. Cordoba B. 30. Montano B. 5. Mejia V. 16. Londono K. 7. Berdugo L. 10. Rios L. 11. Arizalas E. 90. Hernandez L.
Substitutes
12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 37. Jhon Renteria 2. Juan Quintero 32. Mafla C. 77. Obrian J. 40. Palacios M. 16. Torres D. 10. Zapata A.	80. Albornoz O. 23. Castaneda F. 8. Ceballos J. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. 4. Quinones J. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 13. Rodriguez B.
Coaches
Repetto P.	Paez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Fernandez O. ⚽, Fagundez F. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Fagundez F. ⚽, Palacios H. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
34', Mejia V. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
42', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fernandez O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
46', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
55', Berdugo L. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
55', Arizalas E. ↓, Castaneda F. ↑,
62', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
62', Abadia F. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
69', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
76', Fagundez F. ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
79', Rios L. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
79', Montano B. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
82', Palacios H. 🟨,
86', 4 - 0, Zapata A. ⚽, Bustos N. (A),
90+3', 5 - 0, Bustos N. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 2.

Santa Fe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cúcuta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cúcuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Santa Fe is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
11	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	15:19	-4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Copa Libertadores
15.04.26	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTTL
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
05.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
17.03.26	Llaneros SA - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
02.10.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	2:3
20.07.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0
30.01.19	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2
19.07.15	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0
07.02.15	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2
02.11.13	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0
25.05.13	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	3:2

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