Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	20:30	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	21:30	Paramount+
Bulgaria	03:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect
Chile	20:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	19:30	ESPN 2
Israel	03:30	Sport 4
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Mexico	18:30	Disney+
Netherlands	02:30	Canal+, ESPN
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Paraguay	20:30	ESPN 2
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV1
Spain	02:30	LaLiga+
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Corinthians		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.15	8.8	Watch
	1.43	4.19	9.16
	1.4	4.37	9.31	Watch
	1.4	3.9	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.23	7.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	4.17 ↓ (4.62)	8.45 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
66.3%

Draw
22.6%

Independiente Santa Fe
11.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

19.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 7. Breno Bidon 49. Andre 14. Raniele 8. Garro R. (C) 9. Yuri Alberto 31. Kayke	1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 7. Torres J. 16. Torres D. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 14. Palacios L. 11. Rodallega H. (C) 8. Fernandez O.
Substitutes
29. Allan 5. Andre Ramalho 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho	24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 30. Cortes K. 9. Fagundez F. 2. Juan Quintero 5. Melendez J. 22. Mosquera E. 33. Nemocon C. (G) 77. Obrian J. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Raniele ⚽, Gustavo Henrique (A),
57', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
76', Breno Bidon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
76', Raniele ↓, Allan ↑,
77', Fernandez O. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
79', Torres J. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Garro R. (A),
81', Kayke ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
86', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
87', Garro R. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
87', Torres D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
87', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Corinthians is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Inactive) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Gui Negao (Inactive) Joao Pedro (Inactive) Kaio Cesar (Thigh Injury) Milans P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Santa Fe: Lovera M. (Injury) Murillo E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Platense - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLT
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.04.16	Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians	1:1
02.03.16	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0

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