Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Corinthians		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.15	8.8	Watch
	1.43	4.19	9.16
	1.4	4.37	9.31	Watch
	1.4	3.9	8.5	Watch
	1.43	4.23	7.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)	4.17 ↓ (4.62)	8.45 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Corinthians
66.3%

Draw
22.6%

Independiente Santa Fe
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

20.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

18.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 7. Breno Bidon 49. Andre 14. Raniele 8. Garro R. (C) 9. Yuri Alberto 31. Kayke	1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 7. Torres J. 16. Torres D. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 14. Palacios L. 11. Rodallega H. (C) 8. Fernandez O.
Substitutes
29. Allan 5. Andre Ramalho 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho	24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 19. Bustos N. 30. Cortes K. 9. Fagundez F. 2. Juan Quintero 5. Melendez J. 22. Mosquera E. 33. Nemocon C. (G) 77. Obrian J. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Raniele ⚽, Gustavo Henrique (A),
57', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
76', Breno Bidon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
76', Raniele ↓, Allan ↑,
77', Fernandez O. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
79', Torres J. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Gustavo Henrique ⚽, Garro R. (A),
81', Kayke ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
86', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
87', Garro R. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
87', Torres D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
87', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Corinthians is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Inactive) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Gui Negao (Inactive) Joao Pedro (Inactive) Kaio Cesar (Thigh Injury) Milans P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Santa Fe: Lovera M. (Injury) Murillo E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Corinthians: 4.57%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Platense - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Fluminense - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLT
- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.04.26	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
01.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
27.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.04.16	Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians	1:1
02.03.16	Corinthians - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0

Upcoming Matches