Match Info

Date: 6 May 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Independiente Santa Fe		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.62
	5.4	3.6	1.63
	5.2	3.6	1.63
	5.86	3.84	1.62
	5.5	3.75	1.63
	5.65	4.1	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (4.89)	3.77 ↓ (3.86)	1.63 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
17.3%

Draw
25%

River Plate Montevideo
57.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.9%

23.9%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17.8%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Santa Fe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
02.05.21	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Independiente Santa Fe - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.04.21	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.21	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
18.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTW
- River Plate Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Sport Huancayo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	River Plate Montevideo - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	River Plate Montevideo - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.21	Fluminense - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.05.18	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
05.04.18	River Plate Montevideo - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0
Club Friendly
14.01.18	River Plate Montevideo - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2
Recopa Sudamericana
25.08.16	River Plate Montevideo - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1
18.08.16	Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
04.11.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Independiente Santa Fe	✺
Colombian Copa
01.11.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas	✺
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.11.26	River Plate Montevideo - Tacuarembó	✺

Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo