The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 17.3%
Draw 25%
River Plate Montevideo 57.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.9%
23.9%
57.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.9%
20.1%
68.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
Independiente Santa Fe - River Plate Montevideo Predictions
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 62.1% โ 93.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Recent matches Santa Fe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
River Plate is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match River Plate is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.