Match Info

Date: 19 October 2020, Monday


	Deportivo Cuenca		LDU Portoviejo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.83	3.8	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.45
	1.94	3.93	3.6
				Watch
	1.92	3.72	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	3.66 ↑ (3.49)	3.56 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
48.8%

Draw
25.2%

LDU Portoviejo
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.5%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

17.6%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LDU Portoviejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Portoviejo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Deportivo Cuenca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches LDU Portoviejo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Deportivo Cuenca have a series of guest games.

Deportivo Cuenca will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's LDU Portoviejo to win the game is with odds 3.48.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cuenca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.10.20	LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca	5:0 ✺
02.10.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Olmedo	Olmedo awarded ✺
27.09.20	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
13.09.20	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0 ✺
09.09.20	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLL
- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.10.20	LDU Portoviejo - El Nacional	3:0 ✺
02.10.20	SD Aucas - LDU Portoviejo	4:1 ✺
28.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Macará	2:2 ✺
18.09.20	LDU Portoviejo - Olmedo	2:1 ✺
11.09.20	Mushuc Runa - LDU Portoviejo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.02.20	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Cuenca	2:4

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