Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miami		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.25	2.30
	2.60	3.25	2.38
	2.74	3.62	2.50
	2.71	3.41	2.46	Watch
	2.70	3.50	2.45
	2.70	3.40	2.47	Watch
	2.70	3.25	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.67)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	2.42 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Miami
34.5%

Draw
27.3%

Indy Eleven
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.9%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Indy Eleven have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Miami - Indy Eleven Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Indy will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indy: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Room E. (C) 12. Ndiaye B. 13. Knutson D. 4. Calfo A. 21. Milesi A. 8. Romero M. 5. Tori R. 9. Sonora J. 22. Da Costa R. 10. Locadia J. 26. Rocha A.	1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 21. Rasheed M. 39. Barry H. 14. Quinn A. (C) 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 90. Mesanvi L. 8. Blake J. 27. Rendon B. 18. Okello N.
Substitutes
25. Blanco C. E. (G) 34. Celdran T. 16. Diaz G. 39. Garcia S. 37. Mello D. 23. Musto T. 27. Ndongo M. 6. Tulu 7. Tunbridge M.	23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 37. Craig P. 36. Kibunguchy N. 29. Mitrano A. 22. Omar M. 9. Sharp C. 10. Williams K.
Coaches
Maddoni G.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Da Costa R. ⚽, Sonora J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Okello N. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
63', Mesanvi L. ↓, Omar M. ↑,
68', Da Costa R. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
71', Blake J. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
71', Rasheed M. ↓, Kibunguchy N. ↑,
73', Rocha A. ↓, Tulu ↑,
74', Sonora J. 🟨,
76', 2 - 0, Locadia J. ⚽, Milesi A. (A),
84', Locadia J. ↓, Ndongo M. ↑,
84', Ndiaye B. ↓, Tunbridge M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0.

Miami has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Indy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Miami won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Cup
11.07.26	Sarasota Paradise - Miami	0:5 ✺
USL Championship
05.07.26	Miami - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
24.06.26	Miami - Orange County SC	2:4 ✺
13.06.26	Oakland Roots - Miami	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Miami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTLTL
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
04.07.26	Indy Eleven - Charleston Battery	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Lexington - Indy Eleven	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Indy Eleven - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
23.08.25	Indy Eleven - Miami	3:2
US Open Cup
16.04.25	Indy Eleven - Miami	1:0 ET
USL Championship
15.03.25	Miami - Indy Eleven	1:3
28.09.24	Indy Eleven - Miami	4:0
12.05.24	Miami - Indy Eleven	1:3
02.09.23	Indy Eleven - Miami	1:0
12.08.23	Miami - Indy Eleven	0:1

Upcoming Matches