Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL)

Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tampa Bay Rowdies		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4.15	4.95
	1.6	4.24	5.05
	1.56	4.32	4.9	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.75
	1.55	3.98	4.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	4.1 ↑ (4.03)	4.91 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Rowdies
58.8%

Draw
22.5%

Indy Eleven
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

22.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.4%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Waite J. (G) 26. Acoff D. 3. Schaefer B. 62. Dossantos N. 30. Cruz S. 4. Hilton L. (C) 23. Schneider M. 9. Myers M. 17. Mattheus 10. Cicerone R. 14. Henderlong K.	1. Dick E. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 14. Quinn A. (C) 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 18. Okello N. 8. Blake J. 27. Rendon B. 90. Mesanvi L.
Substitutes
7. Conway E. 16. Micaletto M. 20. Ostrem C. 24. Pack A. (G) 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L. 36. Rodriguez A. 37. Tita J. 11. Vivi Quesada G.	39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 19. Kizza E. 29. Mitrano A. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D.
Coaches
Casciato D.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Acoff D. 🟨,
33', Craig P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hilton L. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
46', Acoff D. ↓, Ostrem C. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Mattheus ⚽, Cicerone R. (A),
60', Henderlong K. ↓, Conway E. ↑,
62', Mesanvi L. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
73', Mattheus ↓, Perez L. ↑,
79', Okello N. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
83', Cicerone R. ↓, Micaletto M. ↑,
84', Neidlinger L. ↓, Sing D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Indy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.

In this match, Tampa Bay is the team to beat.

We predict that Tampa Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Rowdies
USL Cup
25.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sarasota Paradise	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Charleston Battery - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Oakland Roots	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Loudoun United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTWW
- Indy Eleven
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
19.04.26	Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
31.03.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
02.08.25	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:3
25.06.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	3:1
26.10.24	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	3:0
20.07.24	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:2
22.07.23	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:0
11.03.23	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Indy Eleven	1:1
30.07.22	Indy Eleven - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:3

Upcoming Matches