Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Michael A. Carroll Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)


	Indy Eleven		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.85
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.21	3.55	3.07
	2.21	3.5	3.07
	2.16	3.64	2.94	Watch
	2.14	3.45	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.31)	3.52 ↓ (3.85)	2.96 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
42.6%

Draw
26.2%

Phoenix Rising
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

24%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

22.2%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Indy Eleven - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Sulte H. (G) 30. Ofeimu B. 2. O'Brien J. 15. Arturo Diz 23. Boudadi Y. 6. Lindley C. (C) 8. Blake J. 3. Stanley A. 42. Martinez D. 13. Guenzatti S. 9. Williams A.	1. Rios R. (G) 27. Wyke L. 4. Mar Boye P. 30. Fuenmayor A. 8. Hernandez J. 26. Zambrano R. (C) 7. Gallardo E. 17. Scearce J. 15. Flood R. 77. Azocar J. 14. Cuello E.
Substitutes
18. Collier E. 22. Gibson T. 20. Mines B. 21. O'Brien E. 1. Oettl Y. (G) 34. Schneider M. 16. Wootton L.	21. Armenakas P. 91. Cabral R. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 72. Rito E. 3. Stenberg J. 16. Torres G. 10. Varela F.
Coaches
McAuley S.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽, Zambrano R. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Blake J. (Pen),
27', Hernandez J. 🟨,
32', Scearce J. 🟨,
41', Lindley C. 🟨,
45+2', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cuello E. ↓, Varela F. ↑,
46', Flood R. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
50', Wyke L. 🟨,
57', Blake J. 🟨,
61', Boudadi Y. ↓, Mines B. ↑,
61', Williams A. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
61', Lindley C. ↓, Gibson T. ↑,
63', Rios R. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Blake J. ⚽,
68', Azocar J. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
68', Hernandez J. ↓, Armenakas P. ↑,
71', Guenzatti S. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
78', Gallardo E. ↓, Rito E. ↑,
82', Blake J. ↓, O'Brien E. ↑,
90', O'Brien E. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Indy in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Phoenix Rising is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Indy will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Indy won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
US Open Cup
22.05.24	Indy Eleven - Detroit City	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
18.05.24	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	4:1 ✺
12.05.24	Miami - Indy Eleven	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	Indy Eleven - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWW
- Phoenix Rising
US Open Cup
22.05.24	Seattle Sounders - Phoenix Rising	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.05.24	Phoenix Rising - Miami	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Detroit City - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	North Carolina - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ET ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven	1:1

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