Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)


	Seattle Sounders		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.52	3.9	4.8
	1.52	4.2	5.5
	1.56	4.09	5.48
	1.57	4.1	5.48
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.58	4.15	5.25	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.34)	3.98 ↓ (4.82)	5.3 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
59.5%

Draw
23.2%

Phoenix Rising
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

17.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Sounders's form might have worsened.

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Seattle Sounders - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thomas A. (G) 85. Kalani K. 39. Hawkins S. 15. Bell J. 5. Nouhou 7. Roldan C. (C) 75. Leyva D. 93. Minoungou G. 99. Teves D. 14. Rothrock P. 17. Musovski D.	22. Rakovsky P. (G) 5. Traore M. 3. Stenberg J. (C) 30. Fuenmayor A. 16. Torres G. 6. Doratiotto G. 26. Zambrano R. 21. Armenakas P. 72. Rito E. 91. Cabral R. 10. Varela F.
Substitutes
33. Baker C. 37. Brunell S. 29. Castro J. (G) 95. De Rosario O. 77. Kitahara S. 25. Ragen J. 16. Roldan A.	77. Azocar J. 14. Cuello E. 23. Flood R. 7. Gallardo E. 8. Hernandez J. 1. Rios R. (G) 17. Scearce J.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Stone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', Bell J. ↓, Ragen J. ↑,
45+5', 0 - 1, Cabral R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Teves D. ↓, Brunell S. ↑,
62', Roldan C. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,
65', Torres G. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
66', Stenberg J. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Roldan A. (Pen),
71', Azocar J. 🟨,
78', Varela F. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
79', Doratiotto G. ↓, Scearce J. ↑,
86', Rothrock P. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Kalani K. ⚽, Musovski D. (A),
90+3', Stenberg J. ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
90+3', Rito E. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Seattle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Phoenix Rising is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Seattle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Seattle is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
18.05.24	Seattle Sounders - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
15.05.24	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	1:2 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	Seattle Sounders - Louisville City	3:2 penalties ✺
MLS
05.05.24	Seattle Sounders - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLWWT
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
18.05.24	Phoenix Rising - Miami	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Detroit City - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
08.05.24	North Carolina - Phoenix Rising	1:2 ET ✺
USL Championship
04.05.24	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	1:1 ✺
26.04.24	Rhode Island - Phoenix Rising	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTW

Upcoming Matches