Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Referee: Meyer B. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play


	Phoenix Rising		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.25
	1.96	3.45	3.15
	2.00	3.61	3.79
	1.94	3.61	3.62	Watch
	1.98	3.50	3.60
	1.93	3.58	3.68	Watch
	2.01	3.40	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)	3.49 ↓ (3.69)	3.48 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
46.9%

Draw
26.5%

Indy Eleven
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.2%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.3%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. 5. Czichos R. 20. Biasi L. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce (C) 7. Sacko I. 8. Gomez D. 87. Flores D. 23. Badji D.	1. Dick E. (G) 13. Hafferty J. 4. Herbert A. 37. Craig P. 29. Mitrano A. 5. O'Brien J. 6. Lindley C. 14. Quinn A. (C) 8. Blake J. 19. Kizza E. 27. Rendon B.
Substitutes
27. Ambursley C. 68. Irwin J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 24. Pelayo A. 19. Rivera D. 48. Schmitt T. 11. Studenhofft G. 70. Torres J.	39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 15. Henry-Scott M. 90. Mesanvi L. 22. Omar M. 21. Rasheed M. 20. Sing D.
Coaches
Kah P.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Badji D. ⚽, Sacko I. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Mar Boye P. (Own goal),
24', Moursou J. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Flores D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moursou J. ↓, Pelayo A. ↑,
46', Smith C. 🟨,
59', Herbert A. 🟨,
63', Czichos R. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
64', Flores D. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
64', Kizza E. ↓, Mesanvi L. ↑,
64', Lindley C. 🟨,
70', Mitrano A. ↓, Rasheed M. ↑,
70', Rendon B. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
71', O'Brien J. ↓, Omar M. ↑,
78', Badji D. ↓, Studenhofft G. ↑,
87', Sacko I. 🟨,
88', Craig P. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
90+3', Gomez D. ↓, Irwin J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
22.08.26	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lexington - Phoenix Rising	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Phoenix Rising - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLTT
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
22.08.26	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Indy Eleven	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Indy Eleven - Hartford Athletic	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	San Antonio - Indy Eleven	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Indy Eleven - Loudoun United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.05.24	Indy Eleven - Phoenix Rising	2:1
20.09.23	Phoenix Rising - Indy Eleven	1:1

Upcoming Matches