Match Info

USA: USL CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: H-E-B Park (Edinburg)

Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)


	Rio Grande Valley		Phoenix Rising

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.85
	2.16	3.45	2.9
	2.22	3.36	2.75
	2.23	3.54	2.82	Watch
	2.04	3.7	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.82)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	2.86 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Grande Valley
42.4%

Draw
26%

Phoenix Rising
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Grande Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Grande Valley's form might have worsened.

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Grande Valley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Deric T. (G) 2. Ricketts J. 3. Ackwei W. 4. Pimentel E. 15. Nodarse F. 5. Cabezas J. 8. Davila T. 12. Ruiz R. 10. Pinzon C. 11. Galindrez J. 13. Cabrera W.	1. Rios R. (G) 67. Harvey C. 30. Fuenmayor A. 26. Zambrano R. 3. Stenberg J. 2. King D. 10. Varela F. 23. Munjoma E. 8. Hernandez J. 17. Trejo D. 21. Armenakas P.
Substitutes
17. Cerro I. 23. Francois C. 19. Kinzner E. 9. Lopez F. 21. Merancio C. (G) 20. Ritondale T. 7. Torres F.	9. Arteaga M. 14. Cuello E. 29. Formella D. 22. Rakovsky P. (G) 16. Torres G. 5. Traore M. 15. Uzochokwu H.
Coaches
Cabrera W.	Guerra J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 2.

Rio Grande Valley is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Phoenix Rising is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Phoenix Rising could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Rio Grande Valley have a series of guest games.

Rio Grande Valley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rio Grande Valley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Grande Valley won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Grande Valley FC Toros
USL Championship
16.08.23	San Antonio - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
12.08.23	Louisville City - Rio Grande Valley	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	Las Vegas Lights - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Rio Grande Valley - El Paso Locomotive	5:2 ✺
21.07.23	Tulsa - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWL
- Phoenix Rising
USL Championship
12.08.23	Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive	5:0 ✺
05.08.23	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising	0:2 ✺
26.07.23	Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising	4:0 ✺
22.07.23	Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
08.10.22	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	2:1
31.08.22	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	2:1
06.11.21	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	3:4 penalties
31.07.21	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	3:1
13.07.19	Rio Grande Valley - Phoenix Rising	0:1
10.05.19	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	3:1
05.09.18	Phoenix Rising - Rio Grande Valley	1:0

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