The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 25.3%
Draw 25.8%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 48.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
27.2%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
18.7%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ingolstadt's form might have worsened.
Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortuna Düsseldorf's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+21.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ingolstadt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-21%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Düsseldorf, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ingolstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 13).
Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (22.02%), has project points - 33, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (48%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fortuna has the most likely position - 8 (7.34%), has project points - 48, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Ingolstadt is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fortuna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Fortuna is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
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