Match Info

3. Liga - Round 26

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.95
	2.3	3.6	2.68	Watch
	2.35	3.83	2.79
	2.26	3.75	2.77	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.63
	2.38	3.59	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	2.74 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
40.4%

Draw
25.8%

Ingolstadt
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

25.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

25.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wehen: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wehen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brdar N. (G) 27. Gillekens J. 19. Hubner F. 15. Janitzek J. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 11. Gozusirin T. 6. Fechner G. 5. May N. 29. Kaya F. (C) 28. Flotho M. 37. Schleimer L.	25. Eisele K. (G) 24. Christensen G. 6. Antzoulas G. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 14. Plath M. 8. Carlsen F. 22. Costly M. 29. Kugel J. 7. Sturm Y.
Substitutes
25. Agrafiotis N. 45. Ati Allah I. 30. Broll K. (G) 18. Greilinger F. 20. Johansson R. 22. Nejad M. 24. Neubert T. 17. Nink B. 47. Suarez D.	11. Christensen F. 20. Deichmann Y. 30. Drakulic O. 34. Frode L. 5. Gul E. 44. Kehrer E. 47. Klein D. (G) 23. Maljojoki J. 39. Ozturk B.
Coaches
Scherning D.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Schleimer L. ⚽, Janitzek J. (A),
33', Carlsen F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Carlsen F. 🟥,
61', Gozusirin T. 🟨,
62', Sturm Y. ↓, Kehrer E. ↑,
62', Kugel J. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
65', Flotho M. 🟨,
65', Rosenlocher L. 🟨,
72', Christensen G. ↓, Gul E. ↑,
72', Schleimer L. ↓, Greilinger F. ↑,
73', Kehrer E. 🟨,
81', Kaya F. ↓, Johansson R. ↑,
81', Flotho M. ↓, Agrafiotis N. ↑,
85', Fechner G. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Plath M. ⚽, Drakulic O. (A),
90+1', May N. ↓, Ati Allah I. ↑,
90+1', Gillekens J. 🟨,
90+2', Costly M. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Gozusirin T. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ingolstadt	7	2	2	3	7:11	-4	8
19	Wehen	7	1	2	4	5:13	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Wehen Wiesbaden - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Jahn Regensburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	6:1 ✺
07.02.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Schweinfurt	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWTW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
21.02.26	Ingolstadt - TSV Havelse	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Schweinfurt - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Hansa Rostock - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Ingolstadt - VfB Stuttgart II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:0
10.05.25	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3
14.12.24	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	2:5
04.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	4:1
27.08.22	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3
13.03.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Ingolstadt	1:2
06.11.20	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:1

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