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Current Win Probability
Institute FC 43.5%
Draw 25.7%
Loughgall 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
25.8%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
25.3%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Institute FC's performance.
Loughgall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Loughgall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Institute FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loughgall than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loughgall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Institute FC - Loughgall Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Stewart D. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Lovrekovic B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 2.
Institute has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Loughgall have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Institute has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Institute against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 2.1:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Institute FC - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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