Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Inter Bogotá		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.25	Watch
	2.21	3.4	3.37
	2.1	3.49	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.24	3.27	3.14	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.8)	3.31 ↑ (3.25)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Bogotá
41.5%

Draw
28.5%

Junior Barranquilla
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Bogotá's performance.

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Inter Bogotá - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Inter Bogotá will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Junior will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Bogotá: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Junior (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farinez W. (G) 20. Castro J. 4. Rodas M. 26. Irazoque A. 22. Suarez K. 23. Caballero J. 5. Vasquez L. (C) 15. Quinones D. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 11. Bone F. 7. Sanguinetti F.	1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 98. Pena J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 14. Rios J. 22. Rivas J. 77. Barrios C. 20. Sarmiento J. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. (C)
Substitutes
6. Angel Amaya Pena M. 21. Caicedo B. 12. Carrasco J. (G) 19. Garcia Y. 16. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 24. Manjarres R. 8. Mayo S. 30. Palacio S. (G) 99. Poveda I. 9. Valencia J.	21. Canchimbo J. 3. Herrera E. 30. Martinez J. (G) 10. Muriel L. 18. Perez K. 5. Rivera D. 7. Rivera H. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.
Coaches
Valino R.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Monzon L. 🟨,
37', Rivas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Monzon L. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
53', Castrillon B. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
53', Gutierrez T. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
61', Quinones D. 🟨,
62', Sarmiento J. ↓, Shmalbach A. ↑,
64', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
65', Guerrero J. 🟨,
72', Caballero J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Muriel L. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),
81', Bone F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
81', Quinones D. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
84', Rivas J. ↓, Rivera H. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Junior has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera A
21.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Llaneros SA - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTTT
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
24.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	0:4 ✺
05.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLT

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