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Current Win Probability
Junior Barranquilla 57.5%
Draw 24.6%
Fortaleza CEIF 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.9%
22.4%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
21.9%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Junior Barranquilla's form might have worsened.
Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
1. Silveira M. (G) 3. Herrera E. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 24. Pestana J. 14. Rios J. 7. Rivera H. 21. Canchimbo J. 29. Gutierrez T. (C) 77. Barrios C. 10. Muriel L.
1. Silva M. (G) 7. Martinez J. 6. Diaz Y. 18. Balanta J. 13. Pernia M. 17. Balanta Carabali K. A. 14. Pico L. (C) 15. Cuero S. 8. Navarro S. 33. Arroyo A. 9. Herrera J.
Substitutes
70. Bacca C. 88. Castrillon B. 30. Martinez J. (G) 9. Paiva G. 22. Rivas J. 5. Rivera D. 20. Sarmiento J. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.
30. Batioja A. 4. Marulanda J. 19. Pulicastro F. 3. Ramirez D. 12. Santander C. (G) 23. Sinisterra J. 10. Velasquez J. 31. Vivas S. 29. Wilke T.
Coaches
Arias A.
Oliveros S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. ⚽,
44', Martinez J. 🟨,
45+1', Herrera E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barrios C. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
55', Martinez J. ↓, Marulanda J. ↑,
63', Muriel L. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
64', Rivera H. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Arroyo A. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Gutierrez T. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
70', Canchimbo J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
76', Cuero S. ↓, Batioja A. ↑,
76', Navarro S. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
80', Diaz Y. 🟨,
85', Herrera J. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
85', Arroyo A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
87', Marulanda J. 🟨,
87', Rios J. 🟨,
90+5', Pestana J. 🟨,
90+6', Velasquez J. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Pestana J. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Junior is seen as the favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junior won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Colombia
South-america
Usa
Watch
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Silveira M. (G) 
Herrera E. 
Silva M. (G) 
Paiva G. 
Pulicastro F. 
Wilke T. 
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