Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Junior Barranquilla		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.51	3.9	5.75
	1.55	3.7	6.4	Watch
	1.55	4.01	6.43
	1.46	4.27	6.85	Watch
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.51	3.88	6.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	3.89 ↓ (4.12)	6.35 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Junior Barranquilla
61.3%

Draw
24%

Alianza Valledupar
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.6%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.7%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alianza Valledupar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Junior Barranquilla will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 98. Pena J. 33. Monzon L. 26. Suarez Y. 22. Rivas J. 28. Celis G. 77. Barrios C. 8. Chara Y. 9. Paiva G. 10. Muriel L.	1. Wallens J. (G) 16. Rosales Y. 23. Viveros J. 22. Figueroa J. 3. Moreno K. 26. Lasso J. 27. Londono Y. 7. Castillo J. (C) 29. Lucumi C. 15. Esparragoza C. 8. Munoz J.
Substitutes
70. Bacca C. 21. Canchimbo J. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. 30. Martinez J. (G) 24. Pestana J. 14. Rios J. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.	24. Banguero E. 21. Cantillo F. 5. Franco P. 12. Martinez J. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 17. Pardo F. 25. Perez Balcazar J. E. 14. Villegas C.
Coaches
Arias A.	Ayala C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Barrios C. ⚽,
41', Suarez Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Munoz J. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Lucumi C. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Muriel L. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
64', Rivas J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
72', Cantillo F. 🟨,
79', Paiva G. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
79', Barrios C. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
80', Guerrero J. 🟨,
80', Londono Y. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
81', Wallens J. 🟨,
83', Celis G. 🟨,
87', Suarez Y. ↓, Socarras D. ↑,
89', Castillo J. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
90', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
90+5', Lucumi C. ↓, Franco P. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Junior won 4.

Recent performances by Junior have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alianza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Junior is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Junior won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 32:12. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Junior Barranquilla - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
28.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	3:0 ✺
17.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.10.25	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	0:1
19.04.25	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	2:0
04.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	2:2
04.02.24	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	0:1
14.09.23	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	1:5
03.04.23	Junior Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar	1:0
25.09.22	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	0:1

Upcoming Matches