Match Info

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday


	Inter Miami		New York City

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.40	5.10	6.10
	1.47	4.91	5.7	Watch
	1.51	5.05	5.83	Watch
	1.43	4.90	5.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	4.94 ↑ (4.91)	5.84 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
64.9%

Draw
19%

New York City
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

19.2%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

18.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for New York City aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Inter Miami - New York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

The betting markets point to Inter Miami as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:27 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Inter Miami against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 16:16 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Inter Miami: 11.63% New York City: 1.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
MLS
27.09.26	Columbus Crew - Inter Miami	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Inter Miami - San Diego	2:2 ✺
Campeones Cup
16.09.26	Inter Miami - Cruz Azul	2:0 ✺
MLS
12.09.26	Inter Miami - Nashville SC	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Chicago Fire - Inter Miami	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWTT
- New York City FC
MLS
26.09.26	Atlanta United - New York City	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	New York City - New York Red Bulls	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Real Salt Lake - New York City	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	New York City - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	New York City - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.03.26	New York City - Inter Miami	2:3
29.11.25	Inter Miami - New York City	5:1
24.09.25	New York City - Inter Miami	0:4
22.02.25	Inter Miami - New York City	2:2
21.09.24	New York City - Inter Miami	1:1
30.03.24	Inter Miami - New York City	1:1
Club Friendly
10.11.23	Inter Miami - New York City	1:2

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