Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 3
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Match 4
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1
Usa	DAZN USA, TBS, truTV
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Inter Miami		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	5	2.7	2.05	Watch
	5	2.37	2.25
	5.15	2.78	2.14
				Watch
	4.89	2.77	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↓ (6.13)	2.66 ↓ (4.4)	2.15 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Miami
19.2%

Draw
36.1%

Palmeiras
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

22.1%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

24.6%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palmeiras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Palmeiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	75%	15.6%

Inter Miami - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 96 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 9 - 9.4%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 15 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 72 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 66.3% – 83.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 48 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 4 - 8.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 38 - 79.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Inter Miami (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.07) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.76) (votes: 0 - 0%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Inter Miami (1.79) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Inter Miami (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 54 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 10 - 18.5%). Palmeiras (votes: 6 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 38 - 70.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Ustari O. (G) 57. Weigandt M. 6. Aviles T. 37. Falcon M. 32. Allen N. 21. Allende T. 55. Redondo Solari F. 5. Busquets S. 8. Segovia T. 10. Messi L. (C) 9. Suarez L.	21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 8. Rios R. 30. Lucas Evangelista 41. Estevao 23. Raphael Veiga 17. Torres F. 42. Flaco Lopez
Substitutes
18. Alba J. 30. Cremaschi B. 22. Leo Afonso 14. Martinez D. 81. Morales S. 29. Obando A. 7. Picault F. 34. Rios R. (G) 11. Rodriguez B. 15. Sailor R. 25. Yarbrough W. (G)	40. Allan 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 4. Giay A. 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio 12. Mayke 13. Micael 34. Naves 10. Paulinho 39. Thalys 6. Vanderlan 9. Vitor Roque
Coaches
Mascherano J.	Abel Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Allende T. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
18', Murilo ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
45+1', Messi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Raphael Veiga ↓, Mauricio ↑,
55', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽,
66', Segovia T. ↓, Alba J. ↑,
67', Marcos Rocha ↓, Allan ↑,
67', Lucas Evangelista ↓, Vitor Roque ↑,
74', Suarez L. ↓, Cremaschi B. ↑,
77', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Rodriguez B. ↑,
77', Allende T. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Paulinho ⚽, Allan (A),
87', 2 - 2, Mauricio ⚽,

Preview

Inter Miami is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Palmeiras has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.

In this match, Palmeiras is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Inter Miami: Callender D. (Groin Injury) Lujan G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive)

There are questionable in Inter Miami: Bright Y. (Hamstring Injury) Fray I. (Injury) Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Weigandt M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Palmeiras: Moreno A. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Miami
FIFA Club World Cup
19.06.25	Inter Miami - Porto	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Inter Miami	0:0 ✺
MLS
31.05.25	Inter Miami - Columbus Crew	5:1 ✺
28.05.25	Inter Miami - CF Montréal	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWWT
- Palmeiras
FIFA Club World Cup
19.06.25	Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Palmeiras - Porto	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.25	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Palmeiras - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLWL

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