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Palmeiras vs Sporting Cristal Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 16, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Greece	ERT Sports 2
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	LaLiga+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Palmeiras		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.18	7.5	13	Watch
	1.17	6.4	16.5	Watch
	1.17	7.72	16.43
	1.18	7.17	15.68	Watch
	1.17	6.5	15
	1.17	7.7	17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.16)	7.17 ↑ (7.13)	15.6 ↑ (14.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
80.7%

Draw
13.2%

Sporting Cristal
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.6%

13.1%

6.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 12. Khellven 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 40. Allan Elias 19. Sosa R. 11. Arias J. 42. Lopez J.	1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 20. Araujo M. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 18. Gonzalez J. 55. Cazonatti G. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I. 16. Iberico L.
Substitutes
24. Aranha (G) 56. Arthur Gabriel 3. Bruno Fuchs 7. Felipe Anderson 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 18. Mauricio	96. Abram L. 33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 44. Castillo G. 41. Cuenca J. 7. Gonzalez S. 37. Lora F. 40. Moretti J. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 97. Rodriguez M. 9. Vizeu F. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Ze Ricardo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Allan Elias (A),
41', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Avila I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Castro M. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
59', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
70', Giay A. ↓, Arthur Gabriel ↑,
70', Sosa R. ↓, Luighi ↑,
70', Gonzalez J. ↓, Cuenca J. ↑,
73', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
79', Enriquez D. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Lopez J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Sosa L. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
85', Cazonatti G. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
88', Arias J. ↓, Felipe Anderson ↑,
88', Allan Elias ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
90+3', Vizeu F. 🟨,

Preview

Palmeiras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting Cristal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of home games.

In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Jefte (Inactive) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury) Vitor Roque (Inactive)

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R. (Knee Injury) Tavara M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

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Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Palmeiras: 15.96% Sporting Cristal: 0.44%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Corinthians - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Palmeiras - Grêmio	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW
- Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Moquegua	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Carabobo	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	6:0
03.04.25	Sporting Cristal - Palmeiras	2:3
18.04.13	Sporting Cristal - Palmeiras	1:0
14.02.13	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	2:1

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