Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Said Martinez H. (Hon)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	02:30	Ariana
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	00:00	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	23:00	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	19:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	08:00	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	00:00	DAZN
Belarus	01:00	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	00:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	18:00	Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	19:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	01:00	DAZN
Canada	18:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	18:00	DirecTV Sports
China	06:00	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	17:00	DAZN
Costa Rica	16:00	TD +, TDMAX
Croatia	00:00	DAZN
Cyprus	01:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	00:00	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	00:00	DAZN
Ecuador	17:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El Salvador	16:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	01:00	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	00:00	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	00:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	01:00	DAZN
Guatemala	16:00	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	16:00	Deportes TV, Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong Kong	06:00	DAZN
Hungary	00:00	DAZN
India	03:30	DAZN
Indonesia	05:00	DAZN
Ireland	23:00	DAZN Ireland
Israel	01:00	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	00:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	07:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	04:00	DAZN
Kenya	01:00	Gotv
Kosovo	00:00	ART Sport 1
Latvia	01:00	DAZN
Lithuania	01:00	DAZN
Malaysia	06:00	DAZN
Maldives	03:00	Medianet
Malta	00:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN
Montenegro	00:00	TVCG 2
New Zealand	10:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	16:00	Canal 13
Nigeria	23:00	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North Macedonia	00:00	DAZN
Norway	00:00	DAZN, VG+
Panama	17:00	Nex
Paraguay	18:00	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	17:00	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	06:00	DAZN
Poland	00:00	DAZN
Portugal	23:00	DAZN 1
Romania	01:00	DAZN, Pro Arena, Voyo
Russia	01:00	DAZN
Saudi Arabia	01:00	Shahid VIP
Serbia	00:00	DAZN
Slovakia	00:00	Voyo
Slovenia	00:00	DAZN
South Africa	00:00	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	07:00	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	00:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	00:00	DAZN
Switzerland	00:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	06:00	DAZN
Thailand	05:00	DAZN
Turkey	01:00	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	01:00	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United Arab Emirates	02:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	23:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	19:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	18:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	03:00	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	18:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	05:00	DAZN, FPT Play
International	22:00	Sport 24


	Palmeiras		Porto

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.9
	2.28	3.15	3.3
	2.31	3.3	3.5
	2.71	3.34	2.52	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.62
	2.41	3.38	3.14
	2.28	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.77)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	3.07 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
39.4%

Draw
29.4%

Porto
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.8%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.9%	20.4%	32.7%

Palmeiras - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 22 - 45.8%). Porto will win (votes: 16 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 31.7% – 59.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Porto (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.25 - Porto (1.89) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Palmeiras (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Porto (1.64) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Porto (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 14 - 53.8%). Porto (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 4. Giay A. 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 7. Felipe Anderson 8. Rios R. 5. Moreno A. 22. Piquerez J. 41. Estevao 18. Mauricio 9. Vitor Roque	14. Claudio Ramos (G) 52. Fernandes M. 97. Pedro J. 5. Marcano I. (C) 23. Joao Mario 22. Varela A. 17. Veiga G. 74. Moura F. 10. Vieira F. 86. Mora R. 9. Samu
Substitutes
40. Allan 3. Bruno Fuchs 42. Flaco Lopez 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 32. Martinez E. 12. Mayke 13. Micael 10. Paulinho 23. Raphael Veiga 39. Thalys 17. Torres F. 6. Vanderlan	47. Alarcon A. 70. Borges G. 19. Danny Namaso 6. Eustaquio S. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 20. Franco A. 27. Gul D. 68. Oliveira A. 4. Otavio 11. Pepê 24. Perez N. 25. Perez T. 15. Sousa V. 7. William Gomes 12. Zaidu
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Anselmi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Felipe Anderson 🟨,
15', Fernandes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Gomez G. 🟨,
64', Abel Ferreira 🟨,
65', Felipe Anderson ↓, Paulinho ↑,
65', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
65', Estevao ↓, Allan ↑,
67', Veiga G. ↓, Pepê ↑,
77', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
77', Mora R. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
77', Joao Mario ↓, Perez N. ↑,
82', Varela A. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
82', Vieira F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
87', Rios R. ↓, Lucas Evangelista ↑,
90+1', Perez N. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Porto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.25	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Palmeiras - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.05.25	Palmeiras - Ceará	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- FC Porto
Club Friendly
08.06.25	Porto - Riga	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Wydad Casablanca - Porto	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Porto - Nacional	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Boavista - Porto	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Porto - Moreirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW

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