Match Info

Serie A - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	20:45	Z Sports 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	ONE Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN 2 Caribbean
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:45	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Inter Milan		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.6	4.4
	1.84	3.70	4.21	Watch
	2.09	3.26	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	3.39 ↓ (3.64)	4.13 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
48.3%

Draw
28.4%

Milan
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.2%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.4%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	33.3%	14%

Inter Milan - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 30 - 52.6%). Milan will win (votes: 8 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 39.6% – 65.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Inter (2.10) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.25 - Milan (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Milan (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 30. Carlos Augusto 23. Barella N. 20. Calhanoglu H. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.	16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 19. Fofana Y. 14. Modric L. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 11. Pulisic C. 10. Leao R.
Substitutes
51. Alexiou C. 31. Bisseck Y. 14. Bonny A. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 43. Cocchi M. 6. de Vrij S. 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 7. Zielinski P.	5. De Winter K. 2. Estupinan P. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 4. Ricci S. 1. Terracciano P. (G)
Coaches
Chivu C.	Allegri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Leao R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ⚽,
61', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
66', Martinez L. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
72', Pavlovic S. 🟨,
74', Calhanoglu H. (Pen),
78', Calhanoglu H. ↓, Zielinski P. ↑,
78', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
78', Pulisic C. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
85', Acerbi F. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
85', Barella N. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
86', Leao R. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Milan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Inter will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury) Di Gennaro R. (Wrist Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Mkhitaryan H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Milan: Athekame Z. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Milan: Castiello A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Inter Milan - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Verona - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Napoli - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
08.11.25	Parma - Milan	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Milan - Roma	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Milan - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
23.04.25	Inter Milan - Milan	0:3
02.04.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1
Italian Serie A
02.02.25	Milan - Inter Milan	1:1
Italian Super Cup
06.01.25	Inter Milan - Milan	2:3
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Inter Milan - Milan	1:2
22.04.24	Milan - Inter Milan	1:2
16.09.23	Inter Milan - Milan	5:1

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