Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Camp Municipal Antonio Solana (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Intercity		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3.1
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.4	2.9	3.15
	2.36	3.05	3.17
	2.33	2.97	3.11	Watch
	2.27	3.16	3.07
	2.4	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.55)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	3.1 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
39.3%

Draw
31%

Alcorcón
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.2%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Intercity - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 4. Hernandez A. 20. Codina M. 18. Burlamaqui A. 10. Martinez B. 6. Gracia J. 23. Gonzalez N. 14. Elady 8. Nsue E. (C) 9. Locadia J. 22. Montero Sergio	1. Ayesa G. (G) 22. Lachevre M. 5. Rentero J. 4. Rojas J. 30. Rodriguez S. 16. Capitas M. 12. Nunez J. 23. Navarro D. 27. Santiago A. 10. Rodriguez R. 11. Kopotun V.
Substitutes
27. Carratala E. 19. De Santis J. 3. Mendibe M. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 21. Sito 7. Zequi 25. Zhernovenko I. (G)	6. Alonso I. 7. Aparicio E. 8. Ballesteros Y. 14. da Costa M. 13. Josele (G) 15. Manrique C. 17. Navarro S. 9. Perez E. 18. Stitch

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Lachevre M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nsue E. ↓, Roige Rodriguez P. ↑,
55', Rodriguez R. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Aparicio E. ⚽,
58', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Zequi ↑,
62', Montero Sergio ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
65', Gracia J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
70', Capitas M. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
70', Kopotun V. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
86', Navarro D. ↓, Alonso I. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', 🟥,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Intercity is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Intercity could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.11.24	Intercity - Sevilla B	4:2 ✺
23.11.24	Mérida AD - Intercity	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Intercity - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
08.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	5:0 ✺
26.10.24	Marbella - Intercity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.11.24	Alcorcón - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Villarreal B - Alcorcón	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Salamanca - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTL

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