Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Internacional RS		Independiente Medellín

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7.25
	1.41	4.7	7.5
	1.42	4.81	7.83
	1.36	4	7
	1.4	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.5	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	4.62 ↑ (4.23)	7.25 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
66.8%

Draw
20.3%

Independiente Medellín
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

21.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Internacional RS - Independiente Medellín Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. John Victor (G) 16. Bustos F. 44. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 6. Rene 30. Johnny 40. Romulo 11. Wanderson 10. Alan Patrick (C) 27. Mauricio 9. Luiz Adriano	1. Mosquera A. (G) 24. Ararat J. 29. Palacios J. 5. Cadavid A. 13. Londono D. 18. Cetre E. 16. Torres D. (C) 15. Alvarado J. 20. Monsalve M. 9. Pons L. 7. Cabezas J.
Substitutes
35. Alemao 20. Aranguiz C. 14. de Pena C. 17. Gustavo Campanharo 21. Igor Gomes 38. Jean Dias 1. Keiller (G) 45. Lucca 41. Matheus Dias 28. Pedro Henrique 4. Rodrigo Moledo 36. Thauan Lara	30. Arizala J. 21. Batalla E. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 6. Loaiza Gutierrez D. A. 4. Marulanda J. 8. Quinonez D. 28. Tegue G. 23. Valencia E. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G)
Coaches
Mano Menezes	Botero J.

Preview

Internacional is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente Medellín is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Internacional have a series of guest games.

In this match Internacional is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Internacional to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Internacional won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Internacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
25.06.23	América Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Coritiba - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.06.23	Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.06.23	Santos - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTT
- Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A
17.06.23	Millonarios - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
12.06.23	Independiente Medellín - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.06.23	Metropolitanos - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.06.23	Independiente Medellín - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
31.05.23	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.04.23	Independiente Medellín - Internacional RS	1:1
Copa Sudamericana
17.05.22	Internacional RS - Independiente Medellín	2:0
26.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Internacional RS	0:1

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