Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 16

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Globoplay
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Usa	Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.4	4	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.95	Watch
	2.02	3.39	4.24
	2	3.26	4.16	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	2	3.38	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	4.06 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
47.8%

Draw
28.8%

Vasco da Gama
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	33.3%	22.2%

Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Vasco (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Vasco (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Anthoni (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. (C) 18. Juninho 6. Matheus Bahia 28. Vitinho 8. Bruno Henrique 5. Villagra R. 26. Bernabei A. 7. Carbonero J. 9. Alerrandro	1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 11. Andres Gomez 3. Tche Tche 25. Hugo Moura (C) 17. Moreira N. 20. Brenner
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 10. Alan Patrick 31. Allex 33. Arhin B. 19. Borre R. 17. Bruno Tabata 20. Clayton Sampaio 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 22. Kauan Jesus (G) 11. Kayky 46. Pedro Kaua 16. Ronaldo	13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 18. Hinestroza M. 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 9. Matheus Franca 37. Pablo (G) 83. Ramon Rique 82. Riquelme Avellar 4. Saldivia A. 64. Walace Fernandes
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Carbonero J. ⚽, Bernabei A. (A),
22', Carbonero J. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Alerrandro ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
32', Moreira N. 🟨,
45+3', Andres Gomez 🟨,
45+3', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 3 - 0, Bernabei A. ⚽, Carbonero J. (A),
64', Moreira N. ↓, David ↑,
71', 4 - 0, Carbonero J. ⚽, Alerrandro (A),
74', Tche Tche ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
74', Brenner ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
78', Alerrandro ↓, Borre R. ↑,
78', Carbonero J. ↓, Allex ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Andres Gomez ⚽, Ramon Rique (A),
86', Matheus Bahia ↓, de Morais Francisco L. F. ↑,
86', Bruno Henrique ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
90+1', Bernabei A. ↓, Arhin B. ↑,
90+2', Cuesta C. 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Internacional could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Internacional: Torres F. (Yellow Cards) Victor Gabriel (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vasco: Jair (Knee Injury) Mateus Carvalho (Knee Injury) Rojas J. (Yellow Cards) Thiago Mendes (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Internacional: Paulinho Paula (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vasco: Cuiabano (Inactive) Paulo Henrique (Injury) Rojas J. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Vasco	29	9	8	12	36:42	-6	35
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Internacional RS - Athletic Club	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.05.26	Coritiba - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Recopa Gaucho
06.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Internacional RS - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWT
- Vasco da Gama
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Audax Italiano - Vasco da Gama	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
28.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	5:1
27.07.25	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:1
21.11.24	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	0:1
07.07.24	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:2
26.10.23	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	1:2
11.06.23	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	2:1
14.02.21	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	0:2

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