Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 36

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Mexico	Fanatiz
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vasco da Gama		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.98
	2.42	3.3	3.23
	2.24	3.21	3.33	Watch
	2.39	3.25	3.17	Watch
	2.36	3.25	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.27)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	3.18 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
40.6%

Draw
29.4%

Internacional RS
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.7%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

30.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	52.6%	21.1%

Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Internacional will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Internacional (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes 10. Coutinho 11. Gomez C. A. 77. Rayan 17. Moreira N.	1. Rochet S. (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 35. Aguirre B. 25. Mercado G. 4. Vitao 26. Bernabei A. 29. Thiago Maia 14. Rodriguez A. 10. Alan Patrick (C) 7. Carbonero J. 28. Vitinho
Substitutes
13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 19. GB 25. Hugo Moura 66. Leandrinho 43. Lucas Freitas 29. Lucas Oliveira 85. Mateus Carvalho 9. Matheus Franca 18. Paulinho Paula 2. Rodriguez J. 99. Vegetti P. 12. Victor Luis	30. Alisson 23. Benitez A. 19. Borre R. 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 32. Diego Esser (G) 18. Juninho 39. Luis Otavio 49. Ricardo Mathias 36. Richard 11. Romero O. 41. Victor Gabriel
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Ramon Diaz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Gomez C. A. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
16', Aguirre B. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
21', Carbonero J. 🟨,
31', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Ricardo Mathias ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 3 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Gomez C. A. (A),
58', 4 - 1, Cauan Barros ⚽,
59', Alan Patrick ↓, Borre R. ↑,
59', Thiago Maia ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
66', 5 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Paulo Henrique (A),
69', Moreira N. ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
69', Thiago Mendes ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
71', Luis Otavio ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
79', Coutinho ↓, Vegetti P. ↑,
79', Gomez C. A. ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
85', Rayan ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.

Vasco is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Internacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vasco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg) David (Red Card) Jair (Knee Injury) Tche Tche (Yellow Cards) Victor Luis (Concussion)

There will not play in Internacional: Ivan (Injury) Ronaldo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vasco: Garre B. (Pelvis Injury)

We predict that Internacional will win today's game, with odds of 3.35.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 42.29%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
23.11.25	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
19.11.25	Grêmio - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Juventude	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
24.11.25	Internacional RS - Santos	1:1 ✺
20.11.25	Ceará - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Internacional RS - Bahia	2:2 ✺
05.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:1
21.11.24	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	0:1
07.07.24	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:2
26.10.23	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	1:2
11.06.23	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	2:1
14.02.21	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	0:2
18.10.20	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	2:0

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