Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 9

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball


	Internacional RS		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.23	3.67
	2.24	3.2	3.46	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.32	3.17	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)	3.18 ↑ (2.92)	3.36 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
42.2%

Draw
29.7%

São Paulo
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

32.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	21.1%	21.1%

Internacional RS - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Internacional (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Anthoni (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 41. Victor Gabriel 35. Aguirre B. 8. Bruno Henrique 5. Villagra R. 27. Paulinho Paula 26. Bernabei A. 9. Alerrandro 10. Alan Patrick (C)	23. Rafael (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 2. Toloi R. 35. Sabino 18. Wendell 94. Danielzinho 29. Pablo Maia 8. Marcos Antonio 37. Artur 10. Luciano 9. Jonathan Calleri (C)
Substitutes
31. Allex 19. Borre R. 17. Bruno Tabata 7. Carbonero J. 20. Clayton Sampaio 18. Juninho 22. Kauan Jesus (G) 6. Matheus Bahia 14. Rodriguez A. 16. Ronaldo 29. Thiago Maia	17. Andre Silva 56. Bosshardt N. 80. Cauly 34. dos Santos P. 30. Felipe Negrucci 11. Ferreira 15. Joao Moreira 33. Luan Silva 4. Matheus Doria 5. Robert Arboleda 21. Soares C. 50. Young (G)
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Roger Machado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Alerrandro ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Danielzinho ↓, Cauly ↑,
62', Aguirre B. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
62', Bruno Henrique ↓, Thiago Maia ↑,
70', Bruno Tabata ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Alerrandro ↓, Borre R. ↑,
71', Marcos Antonio ↓, Ferreira ↑,
71', Lucas Ramon ↓, Soares C. ↑,
80', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
81', Paulinho Paula ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
81', Alan Patrick ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
84', Luciano ↓, Andre Silva ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Jonathan Calleri ⚽, Wendell (A),
90+4', Toloi R. 🟨,
90+7', Pablo Maia ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
90+7', Artur ↓, dos Santos P. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Internacional might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Internacional: Kayky (Hamstring Injury) Vitinho (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in São Paulo: Diaz E. (Yellow Cards) Lucas Moura (Broken rib) Ryan Francisco (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in São Paulo: Lucca Marques (Ribs Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sao Paulo	30	11	6	13	35:35	0	39
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Internacional RS - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.69%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

São Paulo - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Santos - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Internacional RS - Bahia	0:1 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLT
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
21.03.26	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	São Paulo - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.03.26	Palmeiras - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.12.25	São Paulo - Internacional RS	3:0
03.08.25	Internacional RS - São Paulo	1:2
22.09.24	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:3
13.06.24	Internacional RS - São Paulo	0:0
13.09.23	Internacional RS - São Paulo	2:1
07.05.23	São Paulo - Internacional RS	2:0
08.11.22	São Paulo - Internacional RS	0:1

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