Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Steven C. (Sco)


	Inverness		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.75
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.42	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.54	3.25	2.94
	2.47	3.19	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.05	2.85
	2.4	3.04	2.74	Watch
	2.42	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.59)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	2.81 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
38.1%

Draw
29.2%

Dunfermline Athletic
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Dunfermline Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunfermline Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dunfermline will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 2. MacLeod C. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. Boutin N. 35. Stewart A. 4. Shinnie G. 17. Sole L. 8. Mackinnon A. 16. Duncan R. 36. Bavidge A.	1. Oxborough A. (G) 3. Tod J. 15. Cleall-Harding S. 5. Robinson L. 11. Kearney S. 8. Gilmour C. (C) 18. Corbally K. 47. Fraser R. 26. Tod A. 10. Shaw O. 9. Rudden Z.
Substitutes
19. Bates M. 18. Chalmers J. 20. Kargbo H. 14. Keir M. 24. Keogh S. 11. Longstaff L. 26. MacGregor R. 21. Ross L. (G) 15. Smith K.	14. Amade A. 22. Bray K. 33. Cooper J. 6. Donnelly A. 20. Kane Ch. 16. MacLeod R. 28. McLeod E. 7. Morrison C. 40. Terrell B. (G)
Coaches
Kellacher S.	Lennon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Shinnie G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Robinson L. ↓, Donnelly A. ↑,
66', Rudden Z. ↓, Kane Ch. ↑,
74', Shaw O. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
74', Gilmour C. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
74', Tod J. ↓, Morrison C. ↑,
74', Sole L. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
77', Mackinnon A. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
77', Bavidge A. ↓, Bates M. ↑,
90', Kane Ch. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 1.

Inverness is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dunfermline is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dunfermline may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Dunfermline: 8.83% Inverness: 4.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dunfermline	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12
8	Inverness	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10

Last Results with these Odds

Inverness - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.06%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Dunfermline Athletic - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 36.06%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Inverness - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Linlithgow Rose - Inverness	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Inverness - East Fife	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Cove Rangers - Inverness	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW
- Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish League Cup
26.07.26	St. Mirren - Dunfermline Athletic	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Cove Rangers	5:0 ✺
14.07.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Dumbarton	4:1 ✺
11.07.26	East Kilbride - Dunfermline Athletic	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
27.04.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness	1:1
27.02.24	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0
18.11.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness	1:1
02.09.23	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	1:1
26.03.22	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	2:0
22.01.22	Dunfermline Athletic - Inverness	1:1
13.11.21	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2

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