The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inverness 73.3%
Draw 17.4%
Montrose 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69%
19.8%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.2%
19.2%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Inverness - Montrose Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 20. Brannan B. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 3. MacIntyre O. 7. Allan P. 19. Stewart A. 18. Chalmers J. 22. Alonge J. 36. Bavidge A. 9. McKay B.
1. Sharp H. (G) 2. Williamson R. 14. Dillon S. 4. Quinn A. 3. Steeves A. (C) 12. Freeman K. 23. Gibson L. 8. Sandilands C. 15. Stevenson G. 11. Lyons B. 10. Sutherland T.
Substitutes
11. Longstaff L. 8. Mackinnon A. 14. MacLeod C. 12. Robertson M. 21. Ross L. (G) 17. Sole L. 37. Willox K. 10. Wotherspoon D. 23. Zimba C.
20. Bertie K. 22. Brown C. 21. Campbell M. (G) 18. Glasgow E. 9. Loudon E. 6. Masson T. 16. North T. 5. Waddell K. 7. Webster G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, McKay B. ⚽,
42', Brannan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Brannan B. ↓, MacLeod C. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Sutherland T. (Penalty Awarded),
50', Lyons B. 🟨,
54', Gibson L. 🟨,
60', Gibson L. ↓, Webster G. ↑,
66', Devine D. 🟨,
71', Stevenson G. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
71', Lyons B. ↓, Loudon E. ↑,
71', Williamson R. ↓, Masson T. ↑,
73', Chalmers J. ↓, Wotherspoon D. ↑,
73', Allan P. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
73', McKay B. ↓, Sole L. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Bavidge A. ⚽, MacLeod C. (A),
83', Sutherland T. ↓, Waddell K. ↑,
85', Bavidge A. ↓, Zimba C. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Alonge J. ⚽, Sole L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 3.
Inverness is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Montrose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Inverness may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Inverness is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).