Match Info

Date: 19 April 2022, Tuesday


	Ipswich Town		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75
	2.85	2.85	2.7
	2.85	3	2.75
	2.75	2.85	2.75
	2.88	3.06	2.78
	2.8	2.9	2.7
	2.88	3.13	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.5)	2.97 ↓ (3.44)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
33.5%

Draw
31.9%

Wigan Athletic
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

29.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Ipswich Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 11 (39.68%), has project points - 70, has currently - 65, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Wigan has the most likely position - 1 (74.24%), has project points - 93, has currently - 87, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very good chance of promoted (96%), has a good chance of win league (74%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 50, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
16.04.22	Rotherham United - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Ipswich Town - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
26.03.22	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWT
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
16.04.22	Wigan Athletic - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
12.04.22	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	1:3 ✺
05.04.22	Wigan Athletic - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
02.04.22	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.12.21	Wigan Athletic - Ipswich Town	1:1
27.03.21	Wigan Athletic - Ipswich Town	0:0
13.09.20	Ipswich Town - Wigan Athletic	2:0
English League Championship
23.02.19	Wigan Athletic - Ipswich Town	1:1
15.12.18	Ipswich Town - Wigan Athletic	1:0
04.04.17	Ipswich Town - Wigan Athletic	3:0
17.12.16	Wigan Athletic - Ipswich Town	2:3

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