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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 36.6%
Draw 30.2%
Wigan Athletic 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
28.8%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
28.5%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lincoln City's form might have worsened.
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
35.7%
21.4%
Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 17% – 68.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Wigan (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Wigan (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 3 - 30%). Wigan (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 5. Jackson A. 6. Towler R. 14. McGrandles C. 8. Bayliss T. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 9. Collins J.
1. Tickle S. (G) 15. Kerr J. (C) 3. Fox M. 4. Aimson W. 17. Smith M. 7. Murray F. 8. Wright C. 14. Trevitt R. 44. Hungbo J. 10. Mullin P. 9. Saydee C.
Substitutes
18. House B. 13. Jeacock Z. (G) 4. Montsma L. 19. Okoronkwo F. 3. Reach A. 12. Ring E. 11. Thorn O.
16. Adeeko B. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 31. Cooper O. 11. Costelloe D. 20. McManaman C. 13. Savin T. (G) 5. Sessegnon S.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Lowe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mullin P. ⚽, Tickle S. (A),
24', Bayliss T. 🟨,
27', Darikwa T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Collins J. (Pen),
34', 2 - 1, Collins J. ⚽, Towler R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Wright C. ⚽, Saydee C. (A),
61', Collins J. ↓, House B. ↑,
62', Draper F. ↓, Reach A. ↑,
64', Street R. 🟨,
68', Saydee C. 🟥,
74', Bayliss T. ↓, Thorn O. ↑,
76', Mullin P. ↓, Costelloe D. ↑,
76', Wright C. ↓, Adeeko B. ↑,
77', Street R. 🟨,
79', Towler R. 🟨,
85', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Okoronkwo F. ↑,
88', Trevitt R. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
88', Murray F. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 9 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 0.
Lincoln is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Wigan has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Lincoln: Bradley S.
(Red Card)
Moylan J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Adams J.
(Knee Injury)
Mabaya I.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Miller K. L.
(Inactive)
Rankine D.
(Inactive)
Sze C.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Jefferies D.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Wigan: Carragher J.
(Surgery)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Wigan Athletic - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.96%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Wickens G. (G) 
Darikwa T. (C) 
McGrandles C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Collins J. 
Fox M. 
Montsma L. 
Ring E. 
Borges Rodrigues R. 
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