Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Brick Community Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Wigan Athletic		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.12
	3.38	3.28	2.16	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.48	3.3	2.09	Watch
	3.4	3.33	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.72)	3.28 (3.28)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
27.9%

Draw
28.4%

Bolton Wanderers
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.5%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

28.5%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Bolton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wigan: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wigan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tickle S. (G) 3. Fox M. 23. Carragher J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 21. Borges Rodrigues R. 6. Weir J. 17. Smith M. 44. Hungbo J. 43. Bettoni H. 8. Wright C. 11. Costelloe D.	1. Bonham J. (G) 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Simons X. 25. Conway M. 19. Cozier-Duberry A. 10. Dalby S. 48. Burstow M.
Substitutes
35. Francois T. 20. McManaman C. 7. Murray F. 30. Savin T. (G) 9. Saydee C. 5. Sessegnon S. 10. Taylor J.	29. Christie C. 22. Dempsey K. 21. Erhahon E. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 45. McAtee J. 16. Morley A.
Coaches
Lowe R.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Sheehan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Costelloe D. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
75', Simons X. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
75', Burstow M. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
79', Bettoni H. ↓, Saydee C. ↑,
80', Wright C. ↓, Murray F. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Sheehan J. ⚽,
88', Smith M. ↓, Francois T. ↑,
88', Hungbo J. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 3.

In recent matches, Wigan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bolton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bolton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wigan has had a series of away games.

Bolton will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wigan: Mabaya I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Trevitt R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Adeeko B. (Inactive) Kerr J. (Inactive) Rogers J. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wigan won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Wigan: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Wigan	8	1	1	6	5:13	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Wigan Athletic - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 25.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Bolton Wanderers - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.44%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English FA Cup
09.01.26	Preston North End - Wigan Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League One
04.01.26	Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Wigan Athletic - Barnsley	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Bradford City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWL
- Bolton Wanderers
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League One
10.01.26	Peterborough United - Bolton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Bolton Wanderers - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	4:1
01.04.25	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:1
14.12.24	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:2
27.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:0
19.08.23	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:4
02.04.22	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	1:1
16.10.21	Bolton Wanderers - Wigan Athletic	0:4

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