The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Itabaiana 42%
Draw 30.2%
Atlético de Alagoinhas 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
28.3%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
19.7%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itabaiana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Atlético de Alagoinhas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Itabaiana will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Itabaiana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.