Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Café (Londrina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Londrina		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.49	3.65	5.9	Watch
	1.44	4.09	8.01
	1.51	3.79	6.70	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.49	3.64	6.51	Watch
	1.51	3.76	5.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)	3.66 ↓ (3.78)	6.18 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Londrina
60.2%

Draw
25%

Itabaiana
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Londrina - Itabaiana Predictions

Users Predictions: Londrina will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Londrina will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 5. Alison 14. Cedric 9. Eliel 11. Iago Teles (C) 8. Lucas Marques 6. Mauricio Junior 10. Robson Duarte 7. Vitinho 4. Wallace 3. Yago Lincoln	1. Leo Souza (G) 2. Belem P. 11. David 10. Dione 4. Gabriel Santiago 5. Gustavo Crecci 3. Gustavo Fagundes 6. Kauan Santos 7. Leilson 9. Pedro Henrique 8. Tarcisio (C)
Substitutes
20. Caio Rafael 12. Elzo Neto (G) 13. Guilherme Ferreira 16. Gustavo Santos 17. Henrique 15. Joao Tavares 2. Joao Vitor 24. Lucao (G) 22. Rikelmi 21. Thauan 18. Ze Breno	13. Betao 15. Bruno Sena 20. Elimar 17. Fabricio Oya 12. Geaze (G) 21. Jackson 14. Kevin 19. Rhuan Silveira 18. Robinho 16. Vini Locatelli

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Gabriel Santiago 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Eliel ⚽,
20', Robson Duarte ↓, Henrique ↑,
29', Kauan Santos 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Iago Teles ⚽,
31', Vitinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kauan Santos ↓, Betao ↑,
46', Dione ↓, Bruno Sena ↑,
55', Belem P. ↓, Elimar ↑,
58', Vitinho ↓, Thauan ↑,
66', Pedro Henrique ↓, Jackson ↑,
68', Bruno Sena 🟨,
69', Cedric 🟨,
71', Eliel ↓, Ze Breno ↑,
71', Alison ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
72', Leilson ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
81', Tarcisio 🟨,
83', Jackson 🟨,
90', Gustavo Crecci 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 16).

Londrina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Itabaiana is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Londrina is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
13.07.25	Botafogo PB - Londrina	2:0 ✺
06.07.25	Londrina - Guarani	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Retrô Brasil - Londrina	0:4 ✺
15.06.25	Londrina - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Caxias - Londrina	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Anápolis - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
30.06.25	Itabaiana - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Guarani - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Floresta - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL

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