Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A3 - ROUND 11

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Itapirense		Matonense

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	13
				Watch
	1.19	6.08	9.7
	1.11	7.4	15.5
	1.13	7	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.41)	6.87 ↑ (4)	13.05 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itapirense
79.8%

Draw
13.3%

Matonense
7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

18.8%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itapirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itapirense's performance.

Matonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Itapirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matonense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Itapirense - Matonense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Itapirense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).

Recent matches Itapirense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Matonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Itapirense is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Lemense FC - Itapirense	2:3 ✺
21.02.24	Itapirense - União São João	2:4 ✺
10.02.24	Itapirense - Marília	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Red Bull Bragantino II - Itapirense	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Itapirense - Rio Preto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLTTT
- SE Matonense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Matonense - Catanduva	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	São Caetano - Matonense	4:1 ✺
21.02.24	Matonense - Marília	0:6 ✺
18.02.24	Matonense - EC São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Sertãozinho - Matonense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Itapirense - Matonense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Itapirense - Matonense Predictions

Preview

Form

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