Match Info

Date: 29 April 2022, Friday


	Ituano		Bahia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3	2.65
	2.63	2.9	2.65
	2.65	2.95	2.65
	2.76	3.08	2.88
	2.7	3	2.62
	2.63	3.2	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.52)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	2.7 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
34.9%

Draw
30.7%

Bahia
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

31.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

32.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	35.3%	41.2%

Ituano - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ituano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bahia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ituano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.22	Sport Recife - Ituano	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Ituano - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Ituano - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
09.04.22	Chapecoense - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
31.03.22	Botafogo SP - Ituano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWTTW
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.22	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
22.04.22	CS Alagoano - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.04.22	Bahia - Azuriz	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
15.04.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Bahia	0:1 ✺
08.04.22	Bahia - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTTWW

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