Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Ituano		Goiás

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.3	2.95	2.35
	3.53	3.02	2.35
	3.48	2.88	2.32	Watch
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.49	2.89	2.29	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.6)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.31 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
27.7%

Draw
31.9%

Goiás
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

31.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

30.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Ituano - Goiás Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Goiás will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
100. Jefferson Paulino (G) 2. Marcinho 4. Guilherme Mariano 3. Claudinho (C) 6. Guilherme Lazaroni 5. Rodrigo 8. Miqueias 10. Jose Aldo 11. Bruno Xavier 9. Thonny Anderson 7. Vinicius Paiva	23. Tadeu (G) 20. Diego 37. Messias 4. David Braz 88. Luiz Henrique 16. Aloisio 77. Marcao Silva 8. Rafael Gava 31. Welliton 33. Thiago Galhardo 11. Mateus Goncalves
Substitutes
18. de Almeida J. V. X. 14. Erik 23. Gabriel Falcao 19. Jhow 13. Leo Oliveira 22. Leozinho 15. Luiz Gustavo 21. Neto Berola 17. Pablo 16. Richard 1. Saulo (G) 20. Yann Rolim	41. Alves de Oliveira Vieira E. (G) 18. Breno Herculano 22. Diego Caito 25. Ian Luccas 14. Lucas Ribeiro 70. Nathan Melo 17. Pedrinho 10. Regis 29. Reynaldo 80. Rildo 1. Thiago Rodrigues (G) 5. Wellington
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽, Guilherme Lazaroni (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aloisio ↓, Nathan Melo ↑,
46', Marcao Silva ↓, Diego Caito ↑,
60', Diego 🟨,
64', Welliton ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
67', Bruno Xavier ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
71', Nathan Melo 🟨,
75', Rafael Gava ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
75', Mateus Goncalves ↓, Regis ↑,
76', Miqueias ↓, de Almeida J. V. X. ↑,
83', Vinicius Paiva ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
83', Guilherme Lazaroni ↓, Richard ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goiás will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz (Injury) Eduardo Person (Injury) Lipe (Injury) Madison (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury) Ze Eduardo (Injury)

There will not play in Goiás: Edson (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ituano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
20.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	1:0 ✺
15.08.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ituano	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Ituano - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0 ✺
26.07.24	Ituano - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWLT
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.24	Goiás - Brusque	4:1 ✺
16.08.24	Ponte Preta - Goiás	1:1 ✺
12.08.24	Goiás - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
08.08.24	Goiás - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
04.08.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiás	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.05.24	Goiás - Ituano	2:0
Copa do Brasil
27.05.15	Goiás - Ituano	3:1
20.05.15	Ituano - Goiás	2:0

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