Match Info

J2 League - Round 20

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.4	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.4
				Watch
	2.12	3.41	3.69
				Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	1.98	3.53	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.19)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	3.49 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
45.8%

Draw
27.8%

Kataller Toyama
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Iwaki - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Iwaki will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sasaki M. (G) 5. Shirai H. 3. Endo R. 2. Ishida Y. 8. Shibata S. 32. Igarashi S. 7. Ishiwatari N. 19. Onishi Y. 24. Yamashita Y. 38. Kumata N. 10. Tanimura K.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 40. Takeuchi Y. 4. Kamiyama K. 88. Hama T. 22. Shiina N. 48. Ueda K. 16. Sueki H. 28. Fuseya S. 27. Yoshihira T. 58. Take H.
Substitutes
39. Joo H. (G) 15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 28. Kim Hyun-woo 13. Murakami H. 6. Sakagishi K. 30. Shota K. 17. Yamada Y.	42. Hirao T. (G) 5. Imase J. 18. Ito T. 10. Matsuda R. 41. Sakai S. 7. Sasaki Y. 6. Sera S. 33. Takahashi Y. 14. Ura J.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Adachi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Onishi Y. 🟨,
40', Fuseya S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Yamashita Y. ⚽, Kumata N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 0, Onishi Y. ⚽, Shibata S. (A),
56', Sueki H. ↓, Sera S. ↑,
56', Take H. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
56', Shiina N. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
56', Kumata N. ↓, Kim Hyun-woo ↑,
56', Onishi Y. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
65', Ueda K. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
76', Hama T. ↓, Sasaki Y. ↑,
80', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Shota K. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Igarashi S. (A),
88', 3 - 1, Yoshihira T. ⚽, Fuseya S. (A),
90+2', Yamashita Y. ↓, Kato T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Iwaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Iwaki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Iwaki won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Iwaki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.18%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
15.06.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Iwaki	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
01.06.25	Iwaki - Roasso Kumamoto	5:1 ✺
25.05.25	Iwaki - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
15.06.25	Kataller Toyama - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Vegalta Sendai - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
08.06.25	Kataller Toyama - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Kataller Toyama	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Kataller Toyama - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Iwaki	1:2
Japan J3 League
30.07.22	Kataller Toyama - Iwaki	1:1
03.04.22	Iwaki - Kataller Toyama	1:1

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