Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Järvenpään keskuskenttä (Järvenpää)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	JäPS		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.55	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.76	1.97
	3.56	3.82	1.92	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.91
	3.54	3.54	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.42)	3.59 ↑ (3.49)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JäPS
26.3%

Draw
25.7%

KTP Kotka
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

25.3%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JäPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JäPS than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

JäPS - KTP Kotka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mustafa B. (G) 3. Haikonen P. 6. Jama O. (C) 21. Katashira C. 4. Nikki J. 20. Olander H. 11. Pallas E. 41. Salo J. 14. Selander R. 27. Soderlund I. 22. Taskos G.	33. Zhuk M. (G) 3. Agyei D. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 21. Hanninen O. 7. Makela J. (C) 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 14. Sunday G. 13. Tahmbi N.
Substitutes
10. Ahola V. 8. Heidari R. 7. Maliki S. 9. Ristola A. 13. Sainio A. 36. Valtonen T. (G) 25. Valto O.	18. Eloluoto O. 2. Huttunen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 19. Polat R. 29. Ruohio A.
Coaches
Kankkunen T.	Pasoja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Taskos G. ↓, Ahola V. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Forsell P. ⚽,
51', Pallas E. 🟨,
54', Soderlund I. ↓, Maliki S. ↑,
54', Pallas E. ↓, Ristola A. ↑,
71', Hanninen O. ↓, Polat R. ↑,
77', Maliki S. 🟨,
78', Sunday G. ↓, Ruohio A. ↑,
84', Katashira C. ↓, Valto O. ↑,
90+2', Ruohio A. 🟨,
90+3', Agyei D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 1.

JäPS has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KTP has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

JäPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

KTP could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, JäPS won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JäPS won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	KTP ✔	25	18	4	3	45:22	23	58
5	JaPS	25	11	2	12	23:36	-13	35

Last Results with these Odds

JäPS - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 26.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JäPS
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	HIFK - JäPS	1:3 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.05.26	SJK Akatemia - JäPS	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	JäPS - PK-35 Vantaa	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Töölön Taisto - JäPS	1:9 ✺
Finnish Ykkosliiga
25.04.26	JäPS - Ekenäs	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
09.05.26	KTP Kotka - KaPa	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Ekenäs - KTP Kotka	5:2 ✺
24.04.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	JIPPO - KTP Kotka	0:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.04.26	KTP Kotka - Lahti	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
13.09.24	KTP Kotka - JäPS	1:2
05.07.24	JäPS - KTP Kotka	0:0
03.05.24	KTP Kotka - JäPS	2:0
Finnish Ykkoscup
27.01.24	JäPS - KTP Kotka	1:1
Club Friendly
28.01.23	JäPS - KTP Kotka	2:2
Finnish Ykkonen
09.09.22	KTP Kotka - JäPS	6:0
22.07.22	KTP Kotka - JäPS	3:1

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