Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Järfälla		Umeå

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.12
	2.67	3.88	2.18
	2.6	3.8	2.13
	2.76	3.68	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.98)	3.74 ↑ (3.69)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
33.4%

Draw
24.2%

Umeå
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

23.5%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Järfälla - Umeå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 9th).

Recent results have been tough for Järfälla (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Umeå has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Järfälla could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Järfälla has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.10.26	Stocksund - Järfälla	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Järfälla - AFC Eskilstuna	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Järfälla - Karlberg	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWL
- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.10.26	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Umeå - FBK Karlstad	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Stocksund - Umeå	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Umeå - Stockholm Internazionale	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.06.26	Umeå - Järfälla	1:3

Järfälla - Umeå: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide