The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JEF United Chiba 57.4%
Draw 23.4%
Kagoshima United 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
22.6%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
21.8%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
JEF United Chiba - Kagoshima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
JEF United Chiba will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 40. Mendes H. 22. Sasaki S. 24. Yaguchi S. 19. Okaniwa S. 5. Kobayashi Y. 4. Taguchi T. 7. Tanaka K. 8. Kazama K. 10. Komori H.
1. Izumori R. (G) 14. Nodake H. 28. Tone I. 23. Okamoto S. 3. Toyama R. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 20. Endo M. 34. Suzuki S. 18. Fukuda M. 10. Fujimoto N.
Substitutes
33. Dudu 77. Dudu 17. Hayashi M. 27. Iwai T. 36. Matsuda R. 44. Shinada M. 23. Suzuki R. (G)
9. Arita K. 7. Chibu K. 17. Hoshi K. 5. Ibayashi A. 39. Kawabe S. 31. Ono C. (G) 21. Tanaka W.
Coaches
Kobayashi Y.
Asano T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Fukuda M. ⚽, Endo M. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Taguchi T. ⚽, Kobayashi Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Sasaki S. 🟨,
63', Endo M. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Mendes H. ⚽,
69', Kazama K. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
69', Fujimoto N. ↓, Tanaka W. ↑,
69', Toyama R. ↓, Hoshi K. ↑,
80', Tanaka W. 🟨,
82', Suzuki S. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
82', Fukuda M. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,
86', Yaguchi S. 🟨,
89', Okaniwa S. ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+1', Komori H. 🟨,
90+4', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Dudu ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
JEF United is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Kagoshima United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
JEF United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match JEF United is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's JEF United to win the game is with odds 1.54.
Last 4 head-to-head matches JEF United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
Including matches at home between the teams JEF United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
Japan
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Fujita K. (G) 
Mendes H. 
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