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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 19.4%
Draw 25.1%
JEF United Chiba 55.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
25%
55.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
24.3%
57.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Tochigi - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). JEF United will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for JEF United: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 10. Mori T. 24. Kanbe K. 15. Okuda K. 18. Kawana R. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 32. Miyazaki K.
1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 40. Mendes H. 22. Sasaki S. 67. Hidaka M. 7. Tanaka K. 5. Kobayashi Y. 4. Taguchi T. 20. Takagi T. 16. Yokoyama A. 10. Komori H.
Substitutes
44. Ageishi R. 17. Fujitani T. 20. Ide S. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 3. Kurosaki H. 29. Yano K.
17. Hayashi M. 8. Kazama K. 19. Okaniwa S. 44. Shinada M. 39. Shinmyo R. 13. Suzuki D. 23. Suzuki R. (G)
Coaches
Kobayashi S.
Kobayashi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Rafael Costa 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Tanaka K. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Oshima K. ⚽,
39', Sasaki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Oshima K. 🟨,
61', Minamino H. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
62', Takagi T. ↓, Okaniwa S. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Hiramatsu W. ⚽,
71', Tanaka K. ↓, Shinmyo R. ↑,
71', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Hayashi M. ↑,
80', Mori T. 🟨,
90+1', Kawana R. ↓, Kurosaki H. ↑,
90+3', Miyazaki K. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 2.
Recent matches Tochigi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
JEF United is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match JEF United is a favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.